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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 1 November 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 16
  3. 21
  4. 23
  5. 31
  6. 46
  7. 7
  8. 38

Jackpot€500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,784 of 4,855 under them

← 2023-10-31All recent draws2023-11-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 16 21 23 31 46 + 7 3829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 November 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

65oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 82% of every possible ticket.

  • sum37th
  • odd48th
  • low77th
  • widest gap50th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 463 of each

2464times
16465times
21476times
23452times
31

Prize breakdown · 2023-11-01

  • Lines in play≈ 3.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€676.1Kto 420k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.27

Where the money went

  • 525%€165.9K
  • 337%€250.0K
  • R26%€177.2K
  • 1 other tier12%€83.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.27 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

468times
46473times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,783 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (16, 23, 31, 46) with the draw of 15 October 2023 — its closest relative in 3,783 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (31 October 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

139

The numbers add up to 139 — the 37th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

46 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 39% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 3.3 by chance
no winners
  • 557≈ 68 by chance€2,911
  • 43,427≈ 3.7k by chance€24.21
  • 362,488≈ 68k by chance€4.00
  • R354,443€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,427 winners, 8% fewer than the 3.7k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C0€0.00
    557€2,911
    43,427€24.21
    362,488€4.00
    R354,443€0.50