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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 20 October 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 7
  3. 9
  4. 23
  5. 24
  6. 42
  7. 8
  8. 14

Jackpot€1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,772 of 4,857 under them

← 2023-10-19All recent draws2023-10-21 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 7 9 23 24 42 + 8 1429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 October 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 49% of every possible ticket.

  • sum10th
  • odd48th
  • low94th
  • widest gap71th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 462 of each

2462times
7425times
9459times
23450times
24

Prize breakdown · 2023-10-20

  • Lines in play≈ 6.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2Mto 112k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.46

Where the money went

  • 661%€1.2M
  • 5+C7.9%€153.9K
  • 322%€422.5K
  • 2 other tiers10%€192.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.46 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

474times
42467times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,771 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 9, 23, 42) with the draw of 5 December 2017 — its closest relative in 3,771 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 October 2023): 7 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

107

The numbers add up to 107 — the 9th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 23–24. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

9 had not appeared for 33 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 30% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€1,182,543
  • 5+C4≈ 5.6 by chance€38,482
  • 598≈ 114 by chance€785
  • 45,874≈ 6.3k by chance€19.65
  • 3105,617≈ 115k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 105,617 winners, 8% fewer than the 115k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€1,182,543
    5+C4€38,482
    598€785
    45,874€19.65
    3105,617€4.00
    R0€0.50