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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 10 October 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 19
  3. 20
  4. 21
  5. 22
  6. 24
  7. 8
  8. 26

Jackpot€2,800,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,762 of 4,855 under them

← 2023-10-09All recent draws2023-10-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 19 20 21 22 24 + 8 2629 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 October 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

14oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 14 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 0% of every possible ticket.

  • sum17th
  • odd20th
  • low99th
  • widest gap3th
  • neighbours99th
  • spread0th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 461 of each

12450times
19460times
20478times
21473times
22

Prize breakdown · 2023-10-10

  • Lines in play≈ 6.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.9Mto 116k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.48

Where the money went

  • 678%€3.0M
  • 5+C4.7%€179.7K
  • 311%€437.8K
  • 2 other tiers5.8%€224.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.48 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

461times
24472times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,761 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (12, 19, 20, 21) with the draw of 30 May 2023 — its closest relative in 3,761 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 October 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

118

The numbers add up to 118 — the 17th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 19–20, 20–21, 21–22. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

20 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 3.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€3,007,991
  • 5+C4≈ 5.8 by chance€44,916
  • 5217≈ 118 by chance€414
  • 46,548≈ 6.5k by chance€20.58
  • 3109,444≈ 119k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 109,444 winners, 8% fewer than the 119k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€3,007,991
    5+C4€44,916
    5217€414
    46,548€20.58
    3109,444€4.00
    R0€0.50