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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 4 October 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 29
  3. 37
  4. 40
  5. 44
  6. 49
  7. 0
  8. 1

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,756 of 4,857 under them

← 2023-10-03All recent draws2023-10-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 29 37 40 44 49 + 0 129 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 October 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

23oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 23 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 3% of every possible ticket.

  • sum94th
  • odd77th
  • low5th
  • widest gap96th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread95th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 460 of each

3451times
29412times
37473times
40495times
44

Prize breakdown · 2023-10-04

  • Lines in play≈ 4.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€630.5Kto 77k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.32

Where the money went

  • 5+C24%€149.7K
  • 418%€112.2K
  • 347%€293.7K
  • 1 other tier12%€74.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.32 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

444times
49471times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,755 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (3, 29, 44, 49) with the draw of 30 March 2021 — its closest relative in 3,755 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 October 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

202

The numbers add up to 202 — the 94th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

44 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 50% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 3.9 by chance
€149,654
  • 558≈ 79 by chance€1,290
  • 43,828≈ 4.4k by chance€29.32
  • 373,435≈ 80k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,828 winners, 13% fewer than the 4.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€149,654
    558€1,290
    43,828€29.32
    373,435€4.00
    R0€0.50