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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 26 September 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 10
  3. 16
  4. 24
  5. 29
  6. 45
  7. 1
  8. 40

Jackpot€3,200,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,748 of 4,858 under them

← 2023-09-25All recent draws2023-09-27 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 10 16 24 29 45 + 1 4029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 26 September 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

63oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 77% of every possible ticket.

  • sum30th
  • odd20th
  • low77th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread52th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 459 of each

8454times
10486times
16460times
24469times
29

Prize breakdown · 2023-09-26

  • Lines in play≈ 6.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.2Mto 112k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.47

Where the money went

  • 680%€3.4M
  • 5+C4.3%€183.9K
  • 310%€425.8K
  • 2 other tiers5.4%€229.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.47 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

410times
45484times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,747 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (8, 16, 24, 29) with the draw of 28 December 2021 — its closest relative in 3,747 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 September 2023): 8, 29 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

132

The numbers add up to 132 — the 29th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 40% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€3,394,129
  • 5+C1≈ 5.6 by chance€183,889
  • 5104≈ 115 by chance€884
  • 45,633≈ 6.3k by chance€24.48
  • 3106,448≈ 116k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 5,633 winners, 11% fewer than the 6.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€3,394,129
    5+C1€183,889
    5104€884
    45,633€24.48
    3106,448€4.00
    R0€0.50