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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Saturday, 23 September 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 12
  3. 20
  4. 21
  5. 27
  6. 38
  7. 2
  8. 9

Jackpot€1,900,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,745 of 4,852 under them

← 2023-09-22All recent draws2023-09-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 12 20 21 27 38 + 2 929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 September 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 31% of every possible ticket.

  • sum26th
  • odd20th
  • low77th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread16th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 458 of each

10485times
12446times
20476times
21470times
27

Prize breakdown · 2023-09-23

  • Lines in play≈ 5.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€702.8Kto 92k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.39

Where the money went

  • 5+C22%€156.3K
  • 417%€117.2K
  • 350%€351.2K
  • 1 other tier11%€78.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.39 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

479times
38445times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,744 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (10, 21, 27, 38) with the draw of 19 July 2019 — its closest relative in 3,744 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 September 2023): 10 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

128

The numbers add up to 128 — the 25th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 20–21. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 43% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
2≈ 4.6 by chance
€78,126
  • 587≈ 95 by chance€898
  • 44,581≈ 5.2k by chance€25.58
  • 387,807≈ 95k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,581 winners, 12% fewer than the 5.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€78,126
    587€898
    44,581€25.58
    387,807€4.00
    R0€0.50