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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 22 August 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 13
  3. 15
  4. 23
  5. 30
  6. 48
  7. 3
  8. 3

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,713 of 4,854 under them

← 2023-08-21All recent draws2023-08-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 13 15 23 30 48 + 3 329 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 August 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

50oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 43% of every possible ticket.

  • sum32th
  • odd77th
  • low77th
  • widest gap71th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread82th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 455 of each

5445times
13452times
15443times
23442times
30

Prize breakdown · 2023-08-22

  • Lines in play≈ 4.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€571.9Kto 85k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.35

Where the money went

  • 5+C20%€111.8K
  • 415%€83.8K
  • 356%€320.4K
  • 1 other tier10%€55.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.35 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

451times
48441times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,712 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 13, 15, 23) with the draw of 1 August 2023 — its closest relative in 3,712 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 August 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

134

The numbers add up to 134 — the 31th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

48 had not appeared for 32 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 35% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
3≈ 4.2 by chance
€37,253
  • 593≈ 87 by chance€601
  • 44,572≈ 4.8k by chance€18.33
  • 380,110≈ 87k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 80,110 winners, 8% fewer than the 87k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C3€37,253
    593€601
    44,572€18.33
    380,110€4.00
    R0€0.50