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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Sunday, 20 August 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 13
  3. 15
  4. 16
  5. 27
  6. 38
  7. 5
  8. 22

Jackpot€1,300,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,711 of 4,858 under them

← 2023-08-19All recent draws2023-08-21 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 13 15 16 27 38 + 5 2229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 August 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.

  • sum17th
  • odd77th
  • low77th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread19th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 454 of each

9450times
13451times
15442times
16456times
27

Prize breakdown · 2023-08-20

  • Lines in play≈ 4.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€526.8Kto 76k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.32

Where the money went

  • 5+C20%€105.4K
  • 415%€79.1K
  • 355%€289.6K
  • 1 other tier10%€52.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.32 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

475times
38441times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,710 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (9, 13, 15, 16) with the draw of 28 June 2023 — its closest relative in 3,710 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 August 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

118

The numbers add up to 118 — the 17th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 15–16. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 32% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 3.8 by chance
€105,438
  • 554≈ 78 by chance€976
  • 43,951≈ 4.3k by chance€20.01
  • 372,393≈ 79k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,951 winners, 8% fewer than the 4.3k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€105,438
    554€976
    43,951€20.01
    372,393€4.00
    R0€0.50