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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Thursday, 17 August 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 12
  3. 33
  4. 36
  5. 39
  6. 49
  7. 0
  8. 27

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,708 of 4,858 under them

← 2023-08-16All recent draws2023-08-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 12 33 36 39 49 + 0 2729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 August 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

40oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 22% of every possible ticket.

  • sum76th
  • odd77th
  • low20th
  • widest gap85th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 454 of each

5444times
12439times
33474times
36483times
39

Prize breakdown · 2023-08-17

  • Lines in play≈ 4.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€557.3Kto 73k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.30

Where the money went

  • 534%€187.5K
  • 417%€93.8K
  • 350%€276K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.30 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C0

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

464times
49468times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,707 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 12, 33, 39) with the draw of 25 May 2022 — its closest relative in 3,707 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 August 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

174

The numbers add up to 174 — the 76th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 48% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
≈ 3.6 by chance
no winners
  • 564≈ 75 by chance€2,930
  • 43,676≈ 4.1k by chance€25.51
  • 369,001≈ 75k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,676 winners, 11% fewer than the 4.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C0€0.00
    564€2,930
    43,676€25.51
    369,001€4.00
    R0€0.50