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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 9 August 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 4
  3. 9
  4. 16
  5. 21
  6. 35
  7. 6
  8. 17

Jackpot€1,700,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,700 of 4,852 under them

← 2023-08-08All recent draws2023-08-10 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 4 9 16 21 35 + 6 1729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 August 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 49% of every possible ticket.

  • sum3th
  • odd48th
  • low94th
  • widest gap42th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 453 of each

2457times
4437times
9446times
16454times
21

Prize breakdown · 2023-08-09

  • Lines in play≈ 6.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.7Mto 103k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.43

Where the money went

  • 671%€1.9M
  • 5+C6.2%€163.8K
  • 315%€389.6K
  • 2 other tiers7.7%€204.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.43 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

462times
35456times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,699 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (9, 16, 21, 35) with the draw of 6 April 2022 — its closest relative in 3,699 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 August 2023): 21, 35 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

87

The numbers add up to 87 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 36% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€1,894,087
  • 5+C4≈ 5.1 by chance€40,940
  • 5129≈ 105 by chance€635
  • 45,524≈ 5.8k by chance€22.23
  • 397,412≈ 106k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 97,412 winners, 8% fewer than the 106k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€1,894,087
    5+C4€40,940
    5129€635
    45,524€22.23
    397,412€4.00
    R0€0.50