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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 28 July 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 22
  2. 28
  3. 32
  4. 34
  5. 38
  6. 45
  7. 3
  8. 4

Jackpot€600,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,688 of 4,854 under them

← 2023-07-27All recent draws2023-07-29 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed22 28 32 34 38 45 + 3 429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 July 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

17oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 17 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 1% of every possible ticket.

  • sum93th
  • odd5th
  • low5th
  • widest gap3th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread6th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 451 of each

22455times
28457times
32467times
34450times
38

Prize breakdown · 2023-07-28

  • Lines in play≈ 4.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€676.6Kto 84k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.35

Where the money went

  • 5+C23%€158.5K
  • 418%€118.8K
  • 347%€320.1K
  • 1 other tier12%€79.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.35 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

440times
45473times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,687 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (22, 28, 34, 38) with the draw of 18 May 2018 — its closest relative in 3,687 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 July 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

199

The numbers add up to 199 — the 93th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

45 had not appeared for 35 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 50% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 4.2 by chance
€158,454
  • 563≈ 87 by chance€1,258
  • 44,299≈ 4.8k by chance€27.64
  • 380,021≈ 87k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,299 winners, 10% fewer than the 4.8k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€158,454
    563€1,258
    44,299€27.64
    380,021€4.00
    R0€0.50