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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 19 July 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 13
  2. 15
  3. 27
  4. 31
  5. 39
  6. 48
  7. 1
  8. 40

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,679 of 4,854 under them

← 2023-07-18All recent draws2023-07-20 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed13 15 27 31 39 48 + 1 4029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 July 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 38% of every possible ticket.

  • sum75th
  • odd94th
  • low20th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread42th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 450 of each

13446times
15437times
27468times
31450times
39

Prize breakdown · 2023-07-19

  • Lines in play≈ 4.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€617.5Kto 83k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.34

Where the money went

  • 5+C22%€135.1K
  • 416%€101.3K
  • 351%€313.5K
  • 1 other tier11%€67.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.34 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

460times
48438times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,678 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (13, 31, 39) with the draw of 13 April 2023 — its closest relative in 3,678 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 July 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

173

The numbers add up to 173 — the 75th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

39 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 37% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
2≈ 4.1 by chance
€67,554
  • 577≈ 85 by chance€877
  • 44,315≈ 4.7k by chance€23.48
  • 378,376≈ 85k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 78,376 winners, 8% fewer than the 85k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€67,554
    577€877
    44,315€23.48
    378,376€4.00
    R0€0.50