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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 17 July 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 13
  3. 19
  4. 34
  5. 41
  6. 43
  7. 4
  8. 49

Jackpot€500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,677 of 4,854 under them

← 2023-07-16All recent draws2023-07-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 13 19 34 41 43 + 4 4929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 July 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

71oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 71 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 91% of every possible ticket.

  • sum64th
  • odd77th
  • low48th
  • widest gap50th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread25th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 450 of each

12438times
13445times
19452times
34447times
41

Prize breakdown · 2023-07-17

  • Lines in play≈ 4.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€566.3Kto 72k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.30

Where the money went

  • 534%€193.9K
  • 417%€97.0K
  • 349%€275.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.30 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C0

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

443times
43405times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,676 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (12, 19, 34, 41) with the draw of 4 February 2019 — its closest relative in 3,676 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 July 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

162

The numbers add up to 162 — the 63th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 12–13. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 39% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
≈ 3.6 by chance
no winners
  • 570≈ 75 by chance€2,770
  • 43,541≈ 4.1k by chance€27.38
  • 368,849≈ 75k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,541 winners, 14% fewer than the 4.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C0€0.00
    570€2,770
    43,541€27.38
    368,849€4.00
    R0€0.50