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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Saturday, 15 July 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 30
  2. 31
  3. 40
  4. 44
  5. 46
  6. 49
  7. 5
  8. 25

Jackpot€600,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,675 of 4,854 under them

← 2023-07-14All recent draws2023-07-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed30 31 40 44 46 49 + 5 2529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 July 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

20oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 20 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 2% of every possible ticket.

  • sum100th
  • odd20th
  • low0th
  • widest gap8th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread2th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 450 of each

30445times
31449times
40485times
44439times
46

Prize breakdown · 2023-07-15

  • Lines in play≈ 4.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.4Mto 76k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.32

Where the money went

  • 657%€805.1K
  • 5+C10%€146.8K
  • 320%€288.5K
  • 2 other tiers13%€183.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.32 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

464times
49463times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,674 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (30, 44, 46, 49) with the draw of 5 March 2023 — its closest relative in 3,674 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 July 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

240

The numbers add up to 240 — the 100th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 30–31. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

46 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 54% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€805,121
  • 5+C5≈ 3.8 by chance€29,352
  • 585≈ 78 by chance€863
  • 43,969≈ 4.3k by chance€27.73
  • 372,128≈ 78k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 72,128 winners, 8% fewer than the 78k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€805,121
    5+C5€29,352
    585€863
    43,969€27.73
    372,128€4.00
    R0€0.50