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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 4 July 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 20
  3. 21
  4. 35
  5. 38
  6. 46
  7. 7
  8. 32

Jackpot€1,700,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,664 of 4,854 under them

← 2023-07-03All recent draws2023-07-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 20 21 35 38 46 + 7 3229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 July 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

71oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 71 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 92% of every possible ticket.

  • sum70th
  • odd20th
  • low48th
  • widest gap42th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread57th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 449 of each

8445times
20469times
21459times
35450times
38

Prize breakdown · 2023-07-04

  • Lines in play≈ 5.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€717.6Kto 88k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.37

Where the money went

  • 5+C24%€169.8K
  • 418%€127.3K
  • 347%€335.6K
  • 1 other tier12%€84.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.37 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

435times
46463times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,663 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 5 of 6 numbers (8, 20, 35, 38, 46) with the draw of 14 October 2021 — its closest relative in 3,663 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 6.6% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 July 2023): 20 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

168

The numbers add up to 168 — the 70th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 20–21. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 33 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 47% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
2≈ 4.4 by chance
€84,880
  • 567≈ 91 by chance€1,267
  • 44,282≈ 5.0k by chance€29.73
  • 383,908≈ 91k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,282 winners, 14% fewer than the 5.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€84,880
    567€1,267
    44,282€29.73
    383,908€4.00
    R0€0.50