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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 30 June 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 15
  3. 22
  4. 40
  5. 43
  6. 48
  7. 4
  8. 5

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,660 of 4,855 under them

← 2023-06-29All recent draws2023-07-01 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 15 22 40 43 48 + 4 529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 June 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 68% of every possible ticket.

  • sum78th
  • odd20th
  • low48th
  • widest gap71th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 448 of each

8444times
15435times
22451times
40482times
43

Prize breakdown · 2023-06-30

  • Lines in play≈ 5.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€660.2Kto 87k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.36

Where the money went

  • 5+C22%€146.7K
  • 417%€110.0K
  • 350%€330.1K
  • 1 other tier11%€73.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.36 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

402times
48436times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,659 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (8, 15, 40, 43) with the draw of 20 July 2021 — its closest relative in 3,659 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 June 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

176

The numbers add up to 176 — the 78th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 47% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
3≈ 4.4 by chance
€48,909
  • 583≈ 89 by chance€884
  • 44,788≈ 4.9k by chance€22.98
  • 382,530≈ 90k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 82,530 winners, 8% fewer than the 90k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C3€48,909
    583€884
    44,788€22.98
    382,530€4.00
    R0€0.50