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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 16 June 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 28
  3. 30
  4. 43
  5. 44
  6. 45
  7. 7
  8. 9

Jackpot€1,800,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,646 of 4,855 under them

← 2023-06-15All recent draws2023-06-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 28 30 43 44 45 + 7 929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 June 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

21oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 21 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 2% of every possible ticket.

  • sum90th
  • odd20th
  • low5th
  • widest gap96th
  • neighbours94th
  • spread82th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 446 of each

2451times
28449times
30443times
43399times
44

Prize breakdown · 2023-06-16

  • Lines in play≈ 5.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.8Mto 92k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 59lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.39

Where the money went

  • 673%€2.1M
  • 5+C6.4%€179.0K
  • 313%€350.8K
  • 2 other tiers8.0%€223.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.39 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

432times
45469times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,645 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (28, 43, 44, 45) with the draw of 2 September 2020 — its closest relative in 3,645 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 June 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

192

The numbers add up to 192 — the 89th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 43–44, 44–45. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 48% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,051,550
  • 5+C1≈ 4.6 by chance€179,003
  • 567≈ 95 by chance€1,336
  • 44,350≈ 5.2k by chance€30.86
  • 387,709≈ 95k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,350 winners, 17% fewer than the 5.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€2,051,550
    5+C1€179,003
    567€1,336
    44,350€30.86
    387,709€4.00
    R0€0.50