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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 14 April 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 15
  3. 16
  4. 17
  5. 18
  6. 32
  7. 4
  8. 44

Jackpot€600,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,583 of 4,852 under them

← 2023-04-13All recent draws2023-04-15 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 15 16 17 18 32 + 4 4429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 April 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

41oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 41 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 23% of every possible ticket.

  • sum7th
  • odd48th
  • low94th
  • widest gap42th
  • neighbours99th
  • spread19th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 439 of each

3432times
15426times
16438times
17412times
18

Prize breakdown · 2023-04-14

  • Lines in play≈ 5.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.5Mto 97k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.40

Where the money went

  • 653%€790.9K
  • 5+C10%€154.0K
  • 324%€366.8K
  • 2 other tiers13%€192.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.40 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

461times
32455times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,582 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (16, 17, 18, 32) with the draw of 15 September 2015 — its closest relative in 3,582 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 April 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

101

The numbers add up to 101 — the 7th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 15–16, 16–17, 17–18. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

32 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€790,876
  • 5+C1≈ 4.8 by chance€153,991
  • 579≈ 99 by chance€975
  • 44,992≈ 5.5k by chance€23.14
  • 391,704≈ 100k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,992 winners, 9% fewer than the 5.5k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€790,876
    5+C1€153,991
    579€975
    44,992€23.14
    391,704€4.00
    R0€0.50