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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 28 March 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 21
  2. 23
  3. 25
  4. 28
  5. 41
  6. 43
  7. 8
  8. 33

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,566 of 4,857 under them

← 2023-03-27All recent draws2023-03-29 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed21 23 25 28 41 43 + 8 3329 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 March 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 32% of every possible ticket.

  • sum82th
  • odd94th
  • low48th
  • widest gap33th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread5th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 437 of each

21445times
23430times
25449times
28439times
41

Prize breakdown · 2023-03-28

  • Lines in play≈ 4.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€933.6Kto 79k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.33

Where the money went

  • 638%€350.5K
  • 520%€191.2K
  • 332%€296.4K
  • 1 other tier10%€95.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.33 by chance€350,484

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

429times
43387times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,565 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 5 of 6 numbers (21, 23, 25, 28, 41) with the draw of 2 September 2021 — its closest relative in 3,565 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 6.4% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 March 2023): 25 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

181

The numbers add up to 181 — the 82th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

41 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 44% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
  • 5+C0≈ 3.9 by chanceno winners
  • 5108≈ 80 by chance€1,770
  • 44,361≈ 4.4k by chance€21.92
  • 374,093≈ 80k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 74,093 winners, 8% fewer than the 80k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€350,484
    5+C0€0.00
    5108€1,770
    44,361€21.92
    374,093€4.00
    R0€0.50