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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Thursday, 23 March 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 14
  2. 23
  3. 43
  4. 45
  5. 46
  6. 48
  7. 2
  8. 40

Jackpot€1,400,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,561 of 4,857 under them

← 2023-03-22All recent draws2023-03-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed14 23 43 45 46 48 + 2 4029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 March 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 49% of every possible ticket.

  • sum98th
  • odd48th
  • low20th
  • widest gap81th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread37th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 436 of each

14424times
23429times
43386times
45460times
46

Prize breakdown · 2023-03-23

  • Lines in play≈ 5.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€690.3Kto 88k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.37

Where the money went

  • 5+C23%€158.1K
  • 417%€118.6K
  • 348%€334.5K
  • 1 other tier11%€79.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.37 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

442times
48428times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,560 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (14, 23, 43, 48) with the draw of 19 March 2021 — its closest relative in 3,560 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 March 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

219

The numbers add up to 219 — the 98th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 45–46. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

45 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 50% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
3≈ 4.4 by chance
€52,710
  • 580≈ 91 by chance€988
  • 44,673≈ 5.0k by chance€25.38
  • 383,618≈ 91k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 83,618 winners, 8% fewer than the 91k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C3€52,710
    580€988
    44,673€25.38
    383,618€4.00
    R0€0.50