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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Saturday, 4 March 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 11
  4. 17
  5. 39
  6. 41
  7. 3
  8. 9

Jackpot€700,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,542 of 4,855 under them

← 2023-03-03All recent draws2023-03-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 2 11 17 39 41 + 3 929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 March 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

39oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 19% of every possible ticket.

  • sum12th
  • odd94th
  • low77th
  • widest gap88th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 434 of each

1440times
2435times
11426times
17407times
39

Prize breakdown · 2023-03-04

  • Lines in play≈ 5.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€669.4Kto 85k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.36

Where the money went

  • 5+C23%€153.3K
  • 417%€115.0K
  • 348%€324.4K
  • 1 other tier11%€76.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.36 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

437times
41424times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,541 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 11, 17, 39) with the draw of 7 February 2019 — its closest relative in 3,541 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 March 2023): 2, 41 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

111

The numbers add up to 111 — the 12th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

39 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 40% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 4.3 by chance
€153,341
  • 577≈ 88 by chance€996
  • 44,244≈ 4.8k by chance€27.10
  • 381,094≈ 88k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,244 winners, 12% fewer than the 4.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€153,341
    577€996
    44,244€27.10
    381,094€4.00
    R0€0.50