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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Thursday, 2 March 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 5
  3. 15
  4. 21
  5. 24
  6. 35
  7. 7
  8. 37

Jackpot€900,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,540 of 4,855 under them

← 2023-03-01All recent draws2023-03-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 5 15 21 24 35 + 7 3729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 March 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

38oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 18% of every possible ticket.

  • sum7th
  • odd77th
  • low94th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 433 of each

2433times
5426times
15423times
21437times
24

Prize breakdown · 2023-03-02

  • Lines in play≈ 6.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.9Mto 105k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 62 winnerschance said 0.44

Where the money went

  • 661%€1.1M
  • 5+C7.7%€142.5K
  • 322%€398.8K
  • 2 other tiers10%€178.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 62≈ 0.44 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

443times
35441times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,539 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 5, 21, 35) with the draw of 5 October 2018 — its closest relative in 3,539 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 March 2023): 24 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

102

The numbers add up to 102 — the 7th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 38% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€565,341
  • 5+C1≈ 5.3 by chance€142,489
  • 5111≈ 108 by chance€642
  • 45,461≈ 5.9k by chance€19.57
  • 399,691≈ 108k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 5,461 winners, 8% fewer than the 5.9k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    62€565,341
    5+C1€142,489
    5111€642
    45,461€19.57
    399,691€4.00
    R0€0.50