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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 21 February 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 10
  3. 34
  4. 35
  5. 38
  6. 40
  7. 9
  8. 44

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,531 of 4,858 under them

← 2023-02-20All recent draws2023-02-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 10 34 35 38 40 + 9 4429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 February 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

41oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 41 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 24% of every possible ticket.

  • sum67th
  • odd5th
  • low20th
  • widest gap93th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread29th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 432 of each

8432times
10459times
34431times
35439times
38

Prize breakdown · 2023-02-21

  • Lines in play≈ 3.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€537.7Kto 65k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.27

Where the money went

  • 5+C24%€129.9K
  • 418%€97.4K
  • 346%€245.4K
  • 1 other tier12%€65K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.27 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

420times
40456times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,530 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (8, 10, 34, 38) with the draw of 4 August 2018 — its closest relative in 3,530 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 February 2023): 35 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

165

The numbers add up to 165 — the 67th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 34–35. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 51% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 3.2 by chance
€129,907
  • 554≈ 66 by chance€1,203
  • 43,146≈ 3.7k by chance€30.97
  • 361,347≈ 67k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,146 winners, 14% fewer than the 3.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€129,907
    554€1,203
    43,146€30.97
    361,347€4.00
    R0€0.50