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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 23 January 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 5
  3. 6
  4. 12
  5. 17
  6. 43
  7. 8
  8. 44

Jackpot€1,900,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,502 of 4,857 under them

← 2023-01-22All recent draws2023-01-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 5 6 12 17 43 + 8 4429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 January 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

29oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 29 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 8% of every possible ticket.

  • sum2th
  • odd77th
  • low94th
  • widest gap96th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread78th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 429 of each

1433times
5417times
6413times
12412times
17

Prize breakdown · 2023-01-23

  • Lines in play≈ 5.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€715.2Kto 101k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.42

Where the money went

  • 5+C21%€147.7K
  • 415%€110.8K
  • 354%€382.8K
  • 1 other tier10%€73.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.42 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

402times
43380times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,501 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 5 of 6 numbers (1, 5, 12, 17, 43) with the draw of 8 October 2015 — its closest relative in 3,501 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 6.3% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 January 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

84

The numbers add up to 84 — the 2th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 5–6. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

43 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 36% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
2≈ 5.1 by chance
€73,860
  • 587≈ 104 by chance€849
  • 45,271≈ 5.7k by chance€21.02
  • 395,696≈ 104k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 95,696 winners, 8% fewer than the 104k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€73,860
    587€849
    45,271€21.02
    395,696€4.00
    R0€0.50