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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Thursday, 12 January 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 14
  2. 24
  3. 26
  4. 27
  5. 40
  6. 45
  7. 9
  8. 20

Jackpot€700,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,491 of 4,854 under them

← 2023-01-11All recent draws2023-01-13 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed14 24 26 27 40 45 + 9 2029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 January 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

50oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 44% of every possible ticket.

  • sum78th
  • odd20th
  • low20th
  • widest gap33th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread25th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 427 of each

14415times
24437times
26413times
27444times
40

Prize breakdown · 2023-01-12

  • Lines in play≈ 5.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€719.3Kto 92k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 59lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.39

Where the money went

  • 534%€245.2K
  • 417%€122.6K
  • 349%€351.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.39 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

452times
45452times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,490 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (24, 26, 27, 40) with the draw of 16 May 2016 — its closest relative in 3,490 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 January 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

176

The numbers add up to 176 — the 78th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 26–27. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 46% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 4.6 by chance
no winners
  • 563≈ 95 by chance€3,892
  • 44,281≈ 5.2k by chance€28.64
  • 387,879≈ 95k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,281 winners, 18% fewer than the 5.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C0€0.00
    563€3,892
    44,281€28.64
    387,879€4.00
    R0€0.50