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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 10 January 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 15
  2. 17
  3. 21
  4. 31
  5. 35
  6. 42
  7. 1
  8. 40

Jackpot€1,800,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,489 of 4,854 under them

← 2023-01-09All recent draws2023-01-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed15 17 21 31 35 42 + 1 4029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 January 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 38% of every possible ticket.

  • sum63th
  • odd94th
  • low48th
  • widest gap13th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread14th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 427 of each

15416times
17401times
21430times
31424times
35

Prize breakdown · 2023-01-10

  • Lines in play≈ 6.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.9Mto 111k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.46

Where the money went

  • 671%€2.0M
  • 5+C6.4%€183.7K
  • 315%€422.6K
  • 2 other tiers8.0%€229.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.46 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

434times
42434times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,488 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (15, 21, 35, 42) with the draw of 23 April 2022 — its closest relative in 3,488 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 January 2023): 31 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

161

The numbers add up to 161 — the 62th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

42 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 44% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,027,180
  • 5+C2≈ 5.6 by chance€91,851
  • 586≈ 114 by chance€1,068
  • 45,437≈ 6.3k by chance€25.34
  • 3105,641≈ 115k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 5,437 winners, 14% fewer than the 6.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€2,027,180
    5+C2€91,851
    586€1,068
    45,437€25.34
    3105,641€4.00
    R0€0.50