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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Sunday, 1 January 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 18
  2. 31
  3. 32
  4. 34
  5. 37
  6. 38
  7. 6
  8. 48

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,480 of 4,855 under them

← 2022-12-31All recent draws2023-01-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed18 31 32 34 37 38 + 6 4829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 January 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

26oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 26 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 5% of every possible ticket.

  • sum89th
  • odd20th
  • low5th
  • widest gap33th
  • neighbours94th
  • spread3th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 426 of each

18445times
31420times
32441times
34428times
37

Prize breakdown · 2023-01-01

  • Lines in play≈ 2.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€430.6Kto 50k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.21

Where the money went

  • 5+C25%€107.8K
  • 419%€80.9K
  • 344%€188.0K
  • 1 other tier13%€53.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.21 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

445times
38413times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,479 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (18, 32, 34, 38) with the draw of 3 August 2019 — its closest relative in 3,479 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (31 December 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

190

The numbers add up to 190 — the 88th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 31–32, 37–38. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 50% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
3≈ 2.5 by chance
€35,945
  • 553≈ 51 by chance€1,017
  • 42,595≈ 2.8k by chance€31.17
  • 346,996≈ 51k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 46,996 winners, 8% fewer than the 51k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C3€35,945
    553€1,017
    42,595€31.17
    346,996€4.00
    R0€0.50