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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 15 November 2022

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 8
  3. 25
  4. 29
  5. 31
  6. 40
  7. 3
  8. 46

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,433 of 4,857 under them

← 2022-11-14All recent draws2022-11-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 8 25 29 31 40 + 3 4629 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 November 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

67oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 67 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 86% of every possible ticket.

  • sum32th
  • odd77th
  • low48th
  • widest gap65th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread62th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 420 of each

1428times
8426times
25437times
29383times
31

Prize breakdown · 2022-11-15

  • Lines in play≈ 4.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€565.3Kto 74k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.31

Where the money went

  • 5+C22%€126.7K
  • 417%€95K
  • 350%€280.3K
  • 1 other tier11%€63.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.31 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

409times
40440times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,432 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 8, 25, 40) with the draw of 31 August 2022 — its closest relative in 3,432 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 November 2022): 31, 40 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

134

The numbers add up to 134 — the 31th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 42 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 40% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 3.7 by chance
€126,674
  • 570≈ 76 by chance€905
  • 43,641≈ 4.2k by chance€26.09
  • 370,084≈ 76k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,641 winners, 13% fewer than the 4.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€126,674
    570€905
    43,641€26.09
    370,084€4.00
    R0€0.50