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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 9 November 2022

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 13
  3. 14
  4. 20
  5. 23
  6. 30
  7. 6
  8. 26

Jackpot€900,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,427 of 4,852 under them

← 2022-11-08All recent draws2022-11-10 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 13 14 20 23 30 + 6 2629 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 November 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

25oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 25 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 4% of every possible ticket.

  • sum10th
  • odd20th
  • low94th
  • widest gap3th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread5th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 420 of each

8425times
13417times
14410times
20440times
23

Prize breakdown · 2022-11-09

  • Lines in play≈ 5.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.8Mto 97k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.40

Where the money went

  • 662%€1.1M
  • 5+C8.0%€145.7K
  • 320%€365.7K
  • 2 other tiers10%€182.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.40 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

408times
30411times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,426 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (8, 13, 14, 23) with the draw of 22 June 2021 — its closest relative in 3,426 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 November 2022): 20 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

108

The numbers add up to 108 — the 10th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 13–14. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 25% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€1,131,763
  • 5+C3≈ 4.8 by chance€48,563
  • 5131≈ 99 by chance€556
  • 45,377≈ 5.4k by chance€20.32
  • 391,426≈ 99k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 91,426 winners, 8% fewer than the 99k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€1,131,763
    5+C3€48,563
    5131€556
    45,377€20.32
    391,426€4.00
    R0€0.50