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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 21 October 2022

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 14
  3. 19
  4. 28
  5. 38
  6. 48
  7. 3
  8. 49

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,408 of 4,857 under them

← 2022-10-20All recent draws2022-10-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 14 19 28 38 48 + 3 4929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 October 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 59% of every possible ticket.

  • sum56th
  • odd5th
  • low48th
  • widest gap13th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 417 of each

8422times
14406times
19431times
28422times
38

Prize breakdown · 2022-10-21

  • Lines in play≈ 4.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€631.9Kto 83k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 57lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.34

Where the money went

  • 5+C23%€143.1K
  • 417%€107.4K
  • 349%€309.9K
  • 1 other tier11%€71.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.34 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

403times
48410times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,407 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (14, 28, 38, 48) with the draw of 9 December 2021 — its closest relative in 3,407 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 October 2022): 48 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

155

The numbers add up to 155 — the 55th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 35 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 42% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
7≈ 4.1 by chance
€20,445
  • 5122≈ 84 by chance€587
  • 45,806≈ 4.6k by chance€18.49
  • 377,463≈ 84k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 5,806 winners, 26% more than the 4.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C7€20,445
    5122€587
    45,806€18.49
    377,463€4.00
    R0€0.50