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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Thursday, 6 October 2022

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 21
  3. 37
  4. 42
  5. 43
  6. 46
  7. 4
  8. 16

Jackpot€2,300,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,393 of 4,855 under them

← 2022-10-05All recent draws2022-10-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 21 37 42 43 46 + 4 1629 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 October 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

55oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 56% of every possible ticket.

  • sum94th
  • odd77th
  • low20th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread42th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 415 of each

11409times
21411times
37432times
42426times
43

Prize breakdown · 2022-10-06

  • Lines in play≈ 5.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€761.9Kto 94k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.39

Where the money went

  • 535%€269.5K
  • 418%€134.7K
  • 347%€357.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.39 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

373times
46415times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,392 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (11, 37, 42, 43) with the draw of 11 November 2016 — its closest relative in 3,392 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 October 2022): 46 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

200

The numbers add up to 200 — the 93th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 42–43. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 49% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 4.7 by chance
no winners
  • 588≈ 97 by chance€3,062
  • 44,560≈ 5.3k by chance€29.55
  • 389,416≈ 97k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,560 winners, 14% fewer than the 5.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C0€0.00
    588€3,062
    44,560€29.55
    389,416€4.00
    R0€0.50