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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 4 October 2022

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 18
  2. 21
  3. 25
  4. 40
  5. 42
  6. 46
  7. 5
  8. 33

Jackpot€1,300,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,391 of 4,855 under them

← 2022-10-03All recent draws2022-10-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed18 21 25 40 42 46 + 5 3329 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 October 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 61% of every possible ticket.

  • sum90th
  • odd20th
  • low48th
  • widest gap50th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread16th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 415 of each

18430times
21410times
25436times
40435times
42

Prize breakdown · 2022-10-04

  • Lines in play≈ 5.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€694.9Kto 86k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.36

Where the money went

  • 5+C23%€163.3K
  • 418%€122.5K
  • 347%€327.6K
  • 1 other tier12%€81.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.36 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

425times
46413times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,390 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 5 of 6 numbers (18, 21, 40, 42, 46) with the draw of 23 October 2017 — its closest relative in 3,390 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 6.1% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 October 2022): 21 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

192

The numbers add up to 192 — the 89th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 49% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
2≈ 4.3 by chance
€81,636
  • 576≈ 89 by chance€1,074
  • 44,327≈ 4.9k by chance€28.30
  • 381,889≈ 89k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,327 winners, 11% fewer than the 4.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€81,636
    576€1,074
    44,327€28.30
    381,889€4.00
    R0€0.50