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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 16 September 2022

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 3
  3. 11
  4. 20
  5. 21
  6. 31
  7. 8
  8. 34

Jackpot€900,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,374 of 4,864 under them

← 2022-09-15All recent draws2022-09-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 3 11 20 21 31 + 8 3429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 September 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

26oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 26 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 5% of every possible ticket.

  • sum3th
  • odd94th
  • low94th
  • widest gap13th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread22th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 413 of each

1420times
3411times
11407times
20431times
21

Prize breakdown · 2022-09-16

  • Lines in play≈ 6.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.8Mto 105k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 57lines took a prize
  • 62 winnerschance said 0.43

Where the money went

  • 655%€978.3K
  • 5+C10%€186.4K
  • 322%€388.9K
  • 2 other tiers13%€240.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 62≈ 0.43 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

408times
31402times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,373 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (3, 11, 20, 21) with the draw of 17 August 2020 — its closest relative in 3,373 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 September 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

87

The numbers add up to 87 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 20–21. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 27% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€489,127
  • 5+C3≈ 5.1 by chance€62,138
  • 5210≈ 105 by chance€444
  • 47,198≈ 5.8k by chance€20.50
  • 397,218≈ 106k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 7,198 winners, 24% more than the 5.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    62€489,127
    5+C3€62,138
    5210€444
    47,198€20.50
    397,218€4.00
    R0€0.50