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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 15 August 2022

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 3
  3. 24
  4. 35
  5. 45
  6. 48
  7. 3
  8. 10

Jackpot€1,500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,346 of 4,854 under them

← 2022-08-13All recent draws2022-08-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 3 24 35 45 48 + 3 1029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 August 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 50% of every possible ticket.

  • sum57th
  • odd77th
  • low48th
  • widest gap85th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread98th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 410 of each

1415times
3407times
24416times
35413times
45

Prize breakdown · 2022-08-15

  • Lines in play≈ 3.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€501.4Kto 60k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.25

Where the money went

  • 5+C24%€120.1K
  • 419%€95.1K
  • 345%€226.1K
  • 1 other tier12%€60.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.25 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

432times
48404times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,345 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 3, 35, 45) with the draw of 25 December 2018 — its closest relative in 3,345 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 August 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

156

The numbers add up to 156 — the 56th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 30 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 44% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
2≈ 3.0 by chance
€60,075
  • 556≈ 61 by chance€1,073
  • 43,014≈ 3.4k by chance€31.56
  • 356,514≈ 61k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,014 winners, 11% fewer than the 3.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€60,075
    556€1,073
    43,014€31.56
    356,514€4.00
    R0€0.50