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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 11 March 2022

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 23
  3. 26
  4. 28
  5. 41
  6. 44
  7. 5
  8. 8

Jackpot€1,700,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,212 of 4,855 under them

← 2022-03-10All recent draws2022-03-12 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 23 26 28 41 44 + 5 829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 March 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

68oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 68 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 87% of every possible ticket.

  • sum73th
  • odd48th
  • low20th
  • widest gap42th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread42th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 393 of each

9382times
23381times
26380times
28393times
41

Prize breakdown · 2022-03-11

  • Lines in play≈ 6.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.7Mto 104k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.43

Where the money went

  • 667%€1.8M
  • 512%€326.4K
  • 314%€393.0K
  • 1 other tier6.3%€172.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.43 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

388times
44385times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,211 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 5 of 6 numbers (9, 26, 28, 41, 44) with the draw of 27 October 2014 — its closest relative in 3,211 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 5.8% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 March 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

171

The numbers add up to 171 — the 73th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

44 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 42% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€1,821,707
  • 5+C0≈ 5.2 by chanceno winners
  • 5112≈ 106 by chance€2,914
  • 45,349≈ 5.9k by chance€32.20
  • 398,256≈ 107k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 5,349 winners, 9% fewer than the 5.9k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€1,821,707
    5+C0€0.00
    5112€2,914
    45,349€32.20
    398,256€4.00
    R0€0.50