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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 4 March 2022

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 17
  3. 18
  4. 27
  5. 37
  6. 45
  7. 6
  8. 49

Jackpot€900,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,206 of 4,854 under them

← 2022-03-03All recent draws2022-03-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 17 18 27 37 45 + 6 4929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 March 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

70oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 70 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 90% of every possible ticket.

  • sum52th
  • odd77th
  • low48th
  • widest gap13th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread52th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 392 of each

8393times
17363times
18399times
27408times
37

Prize breakdown · 2022-03-04

  • Lines in play≈ 6.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€854.6Kto 111k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.46

Where the money went

  • 5+C22%€190.3K
  • 418%€150.6K
  • 349%€418.6K
  • 1 other tier11%€95.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.46 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

407times
45412times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,205 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (8, 27, 37, 45) with the draw of 19 November 2021 — its closest relative in 3,205 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 March 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

152

The numbers add up to 152 — the 52th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 17–18. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 42% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
  • 5+C1≈ 5.5 by chance€190,283
  • 5118≈ 113 by chance€806
  • 45,829≈ 6.2k by chance€25.84
  • 3104,641≈ 114k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 104,641 winners, 8% fewer than the 114k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€190,283
    5118€806
    45,829€25.84
    3104,641€4.00
    R0€0.50