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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 21 January 2022

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 8
  3. 10
  4. 11
  5. 25
  6. 44
  7. 3
  8. 7

Jackpot€900,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,170 of 4,854 under them

← 2022-01-20All recent draws2022-01-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 8 10 11 25 44 + 3 729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 January 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.

  • sum6th
  • odd48th
  • low94th
  • widest gap76th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread82th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 388 of each

1391times
8383times
10419times
11388times
25

Prize breakdown · 2022-01-21

  • Lines in play≈ 6.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€846.6Kto 112k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.46

Where the money went

  • 5+C22%€185.9K
  • 417%€147.2K
  • 350%€420.5K
  • 1 other tier11%€93.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.46 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

399times
44381times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,169 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (8, 11, 25, 44) with the draw of 23 November 2018 — its closest relative in 3,169 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 January 2022): 11 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

99

The numbers add up to 99 — the 6th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

44 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 38% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
2≈ 5.6 by chance
€92,974
  • 5106≈ 114 by chance€877
  • 46,309≈ 6.3k by chance€23.33
  • 3105,134≈ 114k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 105,134 winners, 8% fewer than the 114k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€92,974
    5106€877
    46,309€23.33
    3105,134€4.00
    R0€0.50