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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Saturday, 30 October 2021

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 19
  2. 27
  3. 32
  4. 42
  5. 43
  6. 48
  7. 4
  8. 40

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,099 of 4,864 under them

← 2021-10-29All recent draws2021-11-01 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed19 27 32 42 43 48 + 4 4029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

39oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 21% of every possible ticket.

  • sum97th
  • odd48th
  • low5th
  • widest gap13th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread19th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 379 of each

19403times
27391times
32388times
42394times
43

Prize breakdown · 2021-10-30

  • Lines in play≈ 5.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.9Mto 90k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.37

Where the money went

  • 672%€2.1M
  • 5+C7.0%€201.7K
  • 312%€340.8K
  • 2 other tiers9.1%€260.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.37 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

349times
48373times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,098 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (27, 32, 42, 43) with the draw of 6 February 2017 — its closest relative in 3,098 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 October 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

211

The numbers add up to 211 — the 97th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 42–43. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

42 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 50% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,059,427
  • 5+C1≈ 4.5 by chance€201,669
  • 570≈ 92 by chance€1,440
  • 44,363≈ 5.1k by chance€36.59
  • 385,212≈ 93k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,363 winners, 14% fewer than the 5.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€2,059,427
    5+C1€201,669
    570€1,440
    44,363€36.59
    385,212€4.00
    R0€0.50