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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 5 October 2021

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 16
  3. 27
  4. 33
  5. 44
  6. 46
  7. 2
  8. 14

Jackpot€1,500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,077 of 4,855 under them

← 2021-10-04All recent draws2021-10-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 16 27 33 44 46 + 2 1429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 72% of every possible ticket.

  • sum69th
  • odd48th
  • low20th
  • widest gap50th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread91th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 377 of each

1382times
16371times
27387times
33396times
44

Prize breakdown · 2021-10-05

  • Lines in play≈ 5.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.5Mto 93k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.39

Where the money went

  • 668%€1.7M
  • 5+C7.9%€198.5K
  • 314%€352.2K
  • 2 other tiers10%€256.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.39 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

368times
46374times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,076 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (27, 33, 44, 46) with the draw of 9 June 2021 — its closest relative in 3,076 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 October 2021): 16, 33 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

167

The numbers add up to 167 — the 69th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

44 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 46% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€1,720,774
  • 5+C1≈ 4.6 by chance€198,460
  • 5118≈ 95 by chance€841
  • 44,684≈ 5.2k by chance€33.54
  • 388,049≈ 96k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,684 winners, 11% fewer than the 5.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€1,720,774
    5+C1€198,460
    5118€841
    44,684€33.54
    388,049€4.00
    R0€0.50