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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 24 September 2021

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 7
  3. 8
  4. 20
  5. 25
  6. 37
  7. 6
  8. 15

Jackpot€1,200,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,068 of 4,864 under them

← 2021-09-23All recent draws2021-09-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 7 8 20 25 37 + 6 1529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 September 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

50oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 43% of every possible ticket.

  • sum7th
  • odd48th
  • low94th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 376 of each

4372times
7344times
8370times
20390times
25

Prize breakdown · 2021-09-24

  • Lines in play≈ 6.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.1Mto 108k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 62 winnerschance said 0.45

Where the money went

  • 660%€1.2M
  • 5+C9.0%€187.1K
  • 320%€407.9K
  • 2 other tiers12%€241.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 62≈ 0.45 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

386times
37387times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,067 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (7, 8, 25, 37) with the draw of 27 September 2019 — its closest relative in 3,067 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 September 2021): 7 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

101

The numbers add up to 101 — the 7th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 7–8. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 32% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€619,770
  • 5+C1≈ 5.4 by chance€187,073
  • 594≈ 110 by chance€995
  • 45,560≈ 6.1k by chance€26.64
  • 3101,977≈ 111k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 5,560 winners, 9% fewer than the 6.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    62€619,770
    5+C1€187,073
    594€995
    45,560€26.64
    3101,977€4.00
    R0€0.50