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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 16 August 2021

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 13
  2. 19
  3. 21
  4. 29
  5. 42
  6. 46
  7. 9
  8. 45

Jackpot€1,500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,034 of 4,857 under them

← 2021-08-14All recent draws2021-08-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed13 19 21 29 42 46 + 9 4529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 August 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

63oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 78% of every possible ticket.

  • sum72th
  • odd77th
  • low48th
  • widest gap33th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 371 of each

13375times
19394times
21367times
29339times
42

Prize breakdown · 2021-08-16

  • Lines in play≈ 4.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€694.9Kto 81k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.34

Where the money went

  • 536%€253.1K
  • 419%€133.6K
  • 344%€308.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.34 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

388times
46367times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,033 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (13, 19, 21, 42) with the draw of 15 October 2019 — its closest relative in 3,033 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 August 2021): 21, 29 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

170

The numbers add up to 170 — the 72th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

42 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 37% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 4.1 by chance
no winners
  • 548≈ 83 by chance€5,274
  • 44,065≈ 4.6k by chance€32.87
  • 377,026≈ 84k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,065 winners, 11% fewer than the 4.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C0€0.00
    548€5,274
    44,065€32.87
    377,026€4.00
    R0€0.50