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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 2 August 2021

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 4
  3. 15
  4. 18
  5. 27
  6. 49
  7. 9
  8. 41

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,022 of 4,852 under them

← 2021-07-31All recent draws2021-08-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 4 15 18 27 49 + 9 4129 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 August 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

36oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 36 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 16% of every possible ticket.

  • sum15th
  • odd77th
  • low77th
  • widest gap88th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread95th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 370 of each

3360times
4370times
15371times
18376times
27

Prize breakdown · 2021-08-02

  • Lines in play≈ 5.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€943.2Kto 88k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.37

Where the money went

  • 629%€274.4K
  • 5+C16%€146.3K
  • 335%€333.5K
  • 2 other tiers20%€189.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.37 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

379times
49375times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,021 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 15, 18, 27) with the draw of 29 December 2020 — its closest relative in 3,021 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (31 July 2021): 49 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

116

The numbers add up to 116 — the 15th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 3–4. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 38% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€274,377
  • 5+C2≈ 4.4 by chance€73,167
  • 585≈ 90 by chance€861
  • 44,740≈ 5.0k by chance€24.44
  • 383,367≈ 91k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 83,367 winners, 8% fewer than the 91k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€274,377
    5+C2€73,167
    585€861
    44,740€24.44
    383,367€4.00
    R0€0.50