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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 23 July 2021

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 25
  3. 26
  4. 28
  5. 32
  6. 44
  7. 1
  8. 6

Jackpot€500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,014 of 4,855 under them

← 2021-07-22All recent draws2021-07-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 25 26 28 32 44 + 1 629 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 July 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

63oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 76% of every possible ticket.

  • sum66th
  • odd20th
  • low20th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread42th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 369 of each

9359times
25376times
26357times
28371times
32

Prize breakdown · 2021-07-23

  • Lines in play≈ 4.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€723.5Kto 85k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.35

Where the money went

  • 5+C24%€175.4K
  • 419%€138.9K
  • 344%€321.5K
  • 1 other tier12%€87.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.35 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

375times
44360times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,013 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (9, 26, 28, 44) with the draw of 27 October 2014 — its closest relative in 3,013 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 July 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

164

The numbers add up to 164 — the 66th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 25–26. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 42% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
2≈ 4.2 by chance
€87,720
  • 571≈ 87 by chance€1,235
  • 44,122≈ 4.8k by chance€33.69
  • 380,372≈ 87k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,122 winners, 14% fewer than the 4.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€87,720
    571€1,235
    44,122€33.69
    380,372€4.00
    R0€0.50