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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 23 March 2021

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 6
  3. 38
  4. 44
  5. 45
  6. 48
  7. 5
  8. 21

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,909 of 4,864 under them

← 2021-03-22All recent draws2021-03-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 6 38 44 45 48 + 5 2129 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 March 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

28oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 28 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 6% of every possible ticket.

  • sum85th
  • odd5th
  • low20th
  • widest gap99th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 356 of each

4356times
6327times
38351times
44342times
45

Prize breakdown · 2021-03-23

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€629.5Kto 71k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 59lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.30

Where the money went

  • 5+C25%€157.3K
  • 420%€124.5K
  • 343%€269.1K
  • 1 other tier12%€78.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.30 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

364times
48350times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,908 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 6, 44, 45) with the draw of 24 November 2017 — its closest relative in 2,908 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 March 2021): 4 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

185

The numbers add up to 185 — the 85th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 44–45. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 48% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
3≈ 3.6 by chance
€52,421
  • 569≈ 73 by chance€1,140
  • 43,372≈ 4.0k by chance€36.92
  • 367,283≈ 73k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,372 winners, 16% fewer than the 4.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C3€52,421
    569€1,140
    43,372€36.92
    367,283€4.00
    R0€0.50