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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 2 February 2021

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 9
  3. 18
  4. 21
  5. 37
  6. 48
  7. 0
  8. 38

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,867 of 4,864 under them

← 2021-02-01All recent draws2021-02-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 9 18 21 37 48 + 0 3829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 February 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 42% of every possible ticket.

  • sum32th
  • odd77th
  • low77th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread98th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 351 of each

1356times
9340times
18361times
21343times
37

Prize breakdown · 2021-02-02

  • Lines in play≈ 4.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€641.5Kto 75k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.32

Where the money went

  • 536%€232.4K
  • 419%€122.6K
  • 345%€286.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.32 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

364times
48345times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,866 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (18, 21, 37, 48) with the draw of 21 August 2019 — its closest relative in 2,866 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 February 2021): 9 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

134

The numbers add up to 134 — the 31th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 41% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 3.8 by chance
no winners
  • 559≈ 78 by chance€3,938
  • 43,777≈ 4.3k by chance€32.47
  • 371,631≈ 78k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,777 winners, 12% fewer than the 4.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C0€0.00
    559€3,938
    43,777€32.47
    371,631€4.00
    R0€0.50