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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 18 January 2021

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 13
  3. 18
  4. 22
  5. 29
  6. 39
  7. 4
  8. 21

Jackpot€2,300,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,854 of 4,857 under them

← 2021-01-16All recent draws2021-01-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 13 18 22 29 39 + 4 2129 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 January 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 52% of every possible ticket.

  • sum20th
  • odd77th
  • low77th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread57th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 349 of each

1353times
13347times
18360times
22357times
29

Prize breakdown · 2021-01-18

  • Lines in play≈ 6.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€870.9Kto 105k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.44

Where the money went

  • 5+C24%€206.8K
  • 419%€163.7K
  • 346%€397K
  • 1 other tier12%€103.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.44 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

325times
39341times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,853 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (13, 22, 29, 39) with the draw of 12 September 2014 — its closest relative in 2,853 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 January 2021): 39 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

122

The numbers add up to 122 — the 20th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

13 had not appeared for 35 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 33% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 5.2 by chance
€206,813
  • 597≈ 107 by chance€1,066
  • 45,165≈ 5.9k by chance€31.70
  • 399,241≈ 108k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 5,165 winners, 13% fewer than the 5.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€206,813
    597€1,066
    45,165€31.70
    399,241€4.00
    R0€0.50