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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 21 December 2020

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 22
  3. 30
  4. 37
  5. 41
  6. 42
  7. 8
  8. 20

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,830 of 4,857 under them

← 2020-12-19All recent draws2020-12-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 22 30 37 41 42 + 8 2029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 December 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 51% of every possible ticket.

  • sum84th
  • odd48th
  • low20th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread25th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 346 of each

11351times
22353times
30342times
37356times
41

Prize breakdown · 2020-12-21

  • Lines in play≈ 4.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€645.7Kto 72k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.30

Where the money went

  • 5+C25%€162.2K
  • 420%€128.5K
  • 342%€273.8K
  • 1 other tier13%€81.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.30 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

346times
42358times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,829 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (11, 22, 30, 41) with the draw of 25 August 2020 — its closest relative in 2,829 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 December 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

183

The numbers add up to 183 — the 83th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 41–42. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 48% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
3≈ 3.6 by chance
€54,081
  • 546≈ 74 by chance€1,764
  • 43,643≈ 4.1k by chance€35.26
  • 368,459≈ 74k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,643 winners, 11% fewer than the 4.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C3€54,081
    546€1,764
    43,643€35.26
    368,459€4.00
    R0€0.50