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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 16 October 2020

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 15
  2. 18
  3. 24
  4. 28
  5. 33
  6. 39
  7. 7
  8. 8

Jackpot€1,200,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,774 of 4,864 under them

← 2020-10-15All recent draws2020-10-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed15 18 24 28 33 39 + 7 829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 October 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 63% of every possible ticket.

  • sum58th
  • odd48th
  • low48th
  • widest gap1th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread8th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 340 of each

15336times
18346times
24352times
28341times
33

Prize breakdown · 2020-10-16

  • Lines in play≈ 5.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€804.6Kto 94k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 59lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.40

Where the money went

  • 536%€291.5K
  • 419%€153.9K
  • 345%€359.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.40 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

351times
39331times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,773 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (18, 33, 39) with the draw of 22 September 2020 — its closest relative in 2,773 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 October 2020): 15 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

157

The numbers add up to 157 — the 58th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 44% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 4.7 by chance
no winners
  • 578≈ 97 by chance€3,737
  • 44,552≈ 5.4k by chance€33.80
  • 389,801≈ 98k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,552 winners, 15% fewer than the 5.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C0€0.00
    578€3,737
    44,552€33.80
    389,801€4.00
    R0€0.50