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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Thursday, 17 September 2020

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 23
  2. 24
  3. 32
  4. 33
  5. 34
  6. 47
  7. 5
  8. 22

Jackpot€500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,749 of 4,865 under them

← 2020-09-16All recent draws2020-09-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed23 24 32 33 34 47 + 5 2229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 September 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

40oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 22% of every possible ticket.

  • sum90th
  • odd48th
  • low20th
  • widest gap33th
  • neighbours99th
  • spread8th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 336 of each

23320times
24349times
32333times
33345times
34

Prize breakdown · 2020-09-17

  • Lines in play≈ 4.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€643.1Kto 72k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.30

Where the money went

  • 5+C25%€161.5K
  • 420%€127.9K
  • 342%€273K
  • 1 other tier13%€80.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.30 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

343times
47345times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,748 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 5 of 6 numbers (23, 24, 32, 33, 34) with the draw of 4 June 2019 — its closest relative in 2,748 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 5.0% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 September 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

193

The numbers add up to 193 — the 90th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 23–24, 32–33, 33–34. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

33 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 50% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
21≈ 3.6 by chance
€7,692
  • 579≈ 74 by chance€1,022
  • 43,621≈ 4.1k by chance€35.32
  • 368,238≈ 74k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,621 winners, 11% fewer than the 4.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C21€7,692
    579€1,022
    43,621€35.32
    368,238€4.00
    R0€0.50