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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 19 August 2020

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 12
  3. 37
  4. 39
  5. 40
  6. 44
  7. 2
  8. 18

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,724 of 4,856 under them

← 2020-08-18All recent draws2020-08-20 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 12 37 39 40 44 + 2 1829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 August 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 40% of every possible ticket.

  • sum75th
  • odd48th
  • low20th
  • widest gap94th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread82th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 333 of each

1337times
12323times
37339times
39324times
40

Prize breakdown · 2020-08-19

  • Lines in play≈ 3.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€616.6Kto 65k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.27

Where the money went

  • 5+C26%€160.7K
  • 421%€127.2K
  • 340%€248.4K
  • 1 other tier13%€80.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.27 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

342times
44323times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,723 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 37, 39, 40) with the draw of 11 April 2018 — its closest relative in 2,723 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 August 2020): 44 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

173

The numbers add up to 173 — the 75th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 39–40. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 50% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
2≈ 3.3 by chance
€80,336
  • 551≈ 67 by chance€1,575
  • 43,215≈ 3.7k by chance€39.56
  • 362,093≈ 67k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,215 winners, 13% fewer than the 3.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€80,336
    551€1,575
    43,215€39.56
    362,093€4.00
    R0€0.50